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Career guidance, HR Blog, Business article, Free courses, MOCC, Business gyan. Hello friends,I had been thinking about what best explains the brexit and got following email from HDFC. They have explained it well and I do not think anything else is required to explain brexit and its impact in India and heee you go. Brexit - A Non- Event for India. What is BREXIT? The European Union - often known as the EU - is an economic and political partnership involving 2. European countries. It has grown to become a . The United Kingdom Prime Minister, David Cameron at the time of his election had promised to hold a referendum on whether the UK should remain in the EU? The referendum has been held and the people of the UK have voted 5. Exit. What were the stakes for the British? The UK is one of 1. EU budget than what they get out and only France and Germany contribute more. The UK's net contribution for 2. The current PM has resigned and left it to the next PM to take a decision on Article 5. Once Article 5. 0 is activated, Brexit is certain. Brexit should then be a two year negotiation process between the EU and the UK. In a good case, it is possible that UK postpones invoking Article 5.
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Even that should not be impacted as Brexit will change the terms of trade between UK and EU and not with India. FDI flows from UK to India stood at only US$1bn in FY1. US$0. 8bn in FY1. Source: Finance Ministry and RBIImpact on Indian Companies. Brexit can have some impact on Indian companies that have businesses in UK/ EU. The medium term impact, if any, will be clear only post the revised terms of trade between UK and EU are finalized. This should take 2- 3 years from now. In the interim, the GBP depreciation is an unexpected positive for companies like Tata Steel and Tata Motors (JLR) that have manufacturing operations in the UK. Barring these companies, the impact on other sectors like pharma, IT, banks and agrochemicals is likely to be marginal. Capital outflows. A pessimist may argue that Brexit will lead to FII outflows from India due to risk aversion. While there is no meaningful link between Brexit and Indian economy, India is in a strong position even if there are some outflows. Consensus expects India’s CAD to remain manageable at about ~1. GDP in FY1. 7. Foreign exchange reserves at ~US$3. Net FDI inflows have increased to an all- time high of US$3. FY1. 6. Impact of any FII outflows even if it does happen will not be felt by the economy, though stock markets may be impacted in the very short run. The HR Leaders Summit 2016 is produced by Human Resources, a publication of Lighthouse Independent Media. Interest rates. Considering India's relatively stable macro situation (CAD ~1. Fiscal Deficit ~3. Even if there are some FII outflows, which may lead to liquidity tightening, RBI is likely to provide additional liquidity through repos and purchase of Gsecs in the open market operations (OMO). Uncertainty in EU is likely to lead to USD strengthening and lower global commodity prices. Interestingly, Brent oil prices were down ~4% today. This is likely to aid continued low inflation and provide room for lower rates in India. The impact of Brexit on all segments of debt markets today has been fairly muted. In the money market (CP & CD) and corporate bond market - yields have moved higher by just 2 to 3 bps. While the yields in treasury bills and government bond market are flat to lower as compared to the levels prevailing yesterday. The INR was stable and depreciated marginally vs. Capella University offers accredited online PhD, doctorate, masters, and bachelor degrees for adults seeking to reach their personal and professional goals. It is quite evident that on most of these occasions, the correction in the Indian stock markets was a good opportunity to invest for the long term investor. This is so because the nature of Indian economy is one of secular growth and global developments have only a marginal impact on it. Table: Past global events and the returns thereafter. Source: Bloomberg. In our opinion, the Indian markets will quickly discount/recover from Brexit. Interestingly, due to focus on Brexit, the steady improvement in the Indian economy has been ignored. The table below gives the key macro- economic indicators. Source: Kotak Institutional Equities Research. The correction of Indian equities at a time when the Indian economy is improving on nearly all parameters has created a good opportunity for the discerning investor. The chart below presents Market cap/GDP ratio of India. It can be seen from the chart that the Market cap/GDP has fallen to attractive levels. India market cap to GDP ratio, calendar year- ends 2. Source: World Bank, Bloomberg, Kotak Institutional Equities, updated till 3. March, 2. 01. 6The policy direction in India is right and economy is making good progress on most fronts. The economy and equity markets also appear to be in transition from consumption to capex. Impact of higher infra allocation and the several steps taken by government over the last two years is expected to be felt strongly from FY1. Railways, Power Transmission and Distribution, Mining, Roads and Urban Infrastructure likely to lead growth. Improving fundamentals of the Indian economy and attractive market cap / GDP lead to a positive outlook for the equity markets over the medium to long term. In a lighter vein, Gold prices went up by ~5% today making Indians richer by ~$4. Equity markets lost ~$3. Hence, Indians are actually better off from Brexit! To conclude, Brexit is not a material event for the Indian markets. Indian economy is on a steady recovery path and valuations are attractive. The correction in markets thus provides an attractive entry point for the medium to long term. DISCLAIMER: The views expressed herein as of June 2. Any calculations made are approximations, meant as guidelines only, which you must confirm before relying on them. The information contained in this document is for general purposes only. The document is given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. The document does not have regard to specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this document. The information/data herein alone are not sufficient and should not be used for the development or implementation of an investment strategy. The statements contained herein are based on our current views and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. Neither HDFC Asset Management Company Limited (AMC) and HDFC Mutual Fund (the Fund) nor any person connected with them, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. HDFC Mutual Fund/AMC is not guaranteeing/offering/communicating any indicative yields or guaranteed returns on investments made in any scheme(s). The recipient(s) before acting on any information herein should make his/her/their own investigation and seek appropriate professional advice and shall alone be fully responsible/liable for any decision taken on the basis of information contained herein. It draws on NYU’s substantial resources in these areas and its faculty members in several different departments and institutes, including the Institute of Fine Arts, the Institute for the Study of the Ancient World, and the Departments of Anthropology, Art History, Hebrew and Judaic Studies, and Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies. Interdisciplinary study is strongly encouraged. Students in the program work with the director of graduate studies and with a faculty adviser in their field to construct a coherent program of academic study that is individually tailored to prepare them for careers in research, teaching, and museum work. With the approval of their advisers, students can receive credit for all courses taken in the Graduate School of Arts and Science and at other schools and institutes at NYU, as well as at universities participating in the Inter- University Doctoral Consortium (Columbia, Princeton, CUNY, Rutgers, Fordham, Stony Brook, and New School University). NYU has a program in Museum Studies that allows students in both the MA and Ph. D programs of ANEES to take an advanced certificate in that field with some additional courses. In addition to their coursework, ANEES students will benefit from the location of the program in New York City, where the Metropolitan Museum of Art and the Brooklyn Museum have important collections of art and artifacts from these civilizations. Public lectures at the museums and elsewhere in the city give students frequent opportunities to hear about the ongoing research of American and visiting international scholars. The program shares the administrative resources of the Hebrew & Judaic Studies Department, where the founding faculty members have appointments, but it is separate from it academically. Students in ANEES are welcomed at Hebrew & Judaic Studies Department events and benefit from its larger community. Get information about the Program in Museum Studies at the New York University in New York. Program in Museum Studies Graduate School of Arts and Science. 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